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recap Mar 06, 2026 · Episode 131

March 02-05 | Ledger Recap

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RECAP ANALYSIS

📜 The Ledger: Midweek/Weekend Recap (Friday, Mar 06, 2026)

📈 Session Stats

Record: 8-14-0 (22 games) Units: -3.8u

🏆 Overall Record

Record: 202-193-14 Total Units: -7.0u

📝 Match Grades

✅ Rockets vs. Wizards (+0.49u)

Selection: Amen Thompson: Rebounds Over 7.5 @ 50¢ | Result: WIN Score: Houston Rockets 123 - Washington Wizards 118 Analysis: Amen Thompson recorded 12 rebounds in the game on March 02, 2026, which is well over the prop line of 7.5 rebounds.

❌ Rockets vs. Wizards (-0.51u)

Selection: Tari Eason: Points Over 14.5 @ 50¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Houston Rockets 123 - Washington Wizards 118 Analysis: Tari Eason scored 9 points in the game against the Washington Wizards on March 02, 2026. The selection was for Over 14.5 points. Since 9 is less than 14.5, the bet is a loss.

❌ Nuggets vs. Jazz (-0.52u)

Selection: Nikola Jokić: Rebounds Over 12.5 @ 52¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Nuggets 128 - Jazz 125 Analysis: In the game played on March 2, 2026, Nikola Jokić recorded 12 rebounds. Since the prop line was set at Over 12.5, the result is a LOSS because 12 is less than the required 12.5.

✅ Blue Jackets vs. Rangers (+0.22u)

Selection: Over 4.5 Goals @ 78¢ | Result: WIN Score: Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - New York Rangers 4 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

✅ Blue Jackets vs. Rangers (+0.54u)

Selection: Rangers Moneyline @ 45¢ | Result: WIN Score: Texas Rangers 3 - Cleveland Guardians 1 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ IU Indy Jaguars vs. Cleveland State Vikings (-0.50u)

Selection: Under 171.5 | Result: LOSS Score: IU Indianapolis Jaguars 93 - Cleveland State Vikings 101 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Coppin State Eagles vs. Howard Bison (-0.50u)

Selection: Under 136.5 | Result: LOSS Score: Coppin State Eagles 70 - Howard Bison 90 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Celtics vs. Bucks (-0.50u)

Selection: Bucks +7.5 | Result: LOSS Score: Milwaukee Bucks 81 - Boston Celtics 108 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Mavericks vs. Hornets (-0.45u)

Selection: Mavericks +11.5 @ 45¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Dallas Mavericks 90 - Charlotte Hornets 117 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Wizards Usage Expansion (-0.50u)

Selection: Bilal Coulibaly Over 10.5 Points | Result: LOSS Score: Orlando Magic 126 - Washington Wizards 109 Analysis: Bilal Coulibaly scored 6 points in the game against the Orlando Magic on March 3, 2026. He shot 3-of-12 from the field and 0-of-6 from three-point range in approximately 24 minutes of play. Since his total of 6 points is below the set line of 10.5, the result is a LOSS.

✅ Minnesota Alpha Volume (+0.50u)

Selection: Julius Randle Over 18.5 Points | Result: WIN Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 117 - Memphis Grizzlies 110 Analysis: On March 03, 2026, Julius Randle recorded 23 points and 11 rebounds in a 117-110 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies. His 23 points exceeded the betting line of 18.5.

✅ Thunder vs. Knicks (+0.38u)

Selection: Thunder 1H Moneyline @ 62¢ | Result: WIN Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 103 - New York Knicks 100 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Hawks vs. Bucks (-0.54u)

Selection: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 25.5 Points @ 53¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Hawks 131 - Bucks 113 Analysis: Giannis Antetokounmpo finished with 24 points in the game on March 4, 2026. Since the prop line was set at 25.5, the total of 24 points did not exceed the line.

✅ Maple Leafs vs. Devils (+0.24u)

Selection: Game Total Over 4.5 @ 75¢ | Result: WIN Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - New Jersey Devils 4 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Hornets vs. Celtics - Bridges Usage Correction (-0.50u)

Selection: Miles Bridges Over 12.5 Points | Result: LOSS Score: Charlotte Hornets 118 - Boston Celtics 89 Analysis: Miles Bridges scored 9 points in the game on March 4, 2026. Comparing his total of 9 points to the prop line of Over 12.5, he fell short by 3.5 points.

❌ Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies - Spread Market Trap (-0.50u)

Selection: Grizzlies +7.5 | Result: LOSS Score: Memphis Grizzlies 114 - Portland Trail Blazers 122 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Mavericks vs. Magic (-0.48u)

Selection: Over 21.5 @ 48¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Orlando Magic 115 - Dallas Mavericks 114 Analysis: The prop 'Over 21.5' for the Mavericks vs. Magic game on March 5, 2026, corresponds to Desmond Bane (Magic), who had a pre-game points line of 21.5. According to the box score, Desmond Bane finished the game with 14 points (on 5-of-13 shooting). Since 14 points is less than the 21.5 line, the selection is a LOSS. Other major players in the game included Klay Thompson (24 points), Tristan da Silva (19 points), Khris Middleton (19 points), Cooper Flagg (18 points), and Paolo Banchero (16 points). None of the players with a line of 21.5 or higher (specifically Bane at 21.5 and Banchero at 23.5) exceeded their respective points total.

✅ Pistons vs. Spurs (+0.50u)

Selection: Over 11.5 @ 50¢ | Result: WIN Score: Spurs 121 - Pistons 106 Analysis: The selection 'Over 11.5' refers to Victor Wembanyama's Rebounds prop for the game on March 5, 2026. Wembanyama finished the game with 16 rebounds, comfortably exceeding the line of 11.5.

❌ Lakers vs. Nuggets (-0.59u)

Selection: Over 237.5 @ 59¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Los Angeles Lakers 113 - Denver Nuggets 120 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Lakers vs. Nuggets (-0.50u)

Selection: Over 29.5 @ 50¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Denver Nuggets 120 - Los Angeles Lakers 113 Analysis: In the game played on March 05, 2026, no player from either team reached the 30-point mark. The highest point totals for the Nuggets were recorded by Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, who both finished with 28 points. For the Lakers, the leading scorer was Luka Doncic with 27 points. As no player surpassed the 29.5 point threshold, the selection 'Over 29.5' is a loss.

❌ Senators vs. Flames (-0.55u)

Selection: Over 5.5 @ 55¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Ottawa Senators 4 - Calgary Flames 1 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

✅ Pistons vs. Spurs (+0.50u)

Selection: Keldon Johnson Over 3.5 Rebounds | Result: WIN Score: Spurs 121 - Pistons 106 Analysis: Keldon Johnson recorded 4 total rebounds (0 offensive, 4 defensive) in 21 minutes and 56 seconds of play during the Spurs' 121-106 victory over the Pistons on March 5, 2026. Since 4 rebounds exceeds the betting line of 3.5, the selection is a WIN.

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