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recap Mar 20, 2026 · Episode 162

March 16-19 | Ledger Recap

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RECAP ANALYSIS

📜 The Ledger: Midweek/Weekend Recap (Friday, Mar 20, 2026)

📈 Session Stats

Record: 16-14-0 (30 games) Units: +1.2u

🏆 Overall Record

Record: 257-232-14 Total Units: -0.4u

📝 Match Grades

✅ Magic vs. Hawks (+0.55u)

Selection: Jalen Johnson Points Over 21.5 @ 45¢ | Result: WIN Score: Orlando Magic 112 - Atlanta Hawks 124 Analysis: Jalen Johnson scored 24 points in the game against the Orlando Magic on March 16, 2026, exceeding the betting line of 21.5 points.

❌ Mavericks vs. Pelicans (-0.53u)

Selection: Cooper Flagg Points Over 21.5 @ 53¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Mavericks 111 - Pelicans 129 Analysis: Cooper Flagg scored exactly 21 points in the game against the Pelicans on March 16, 2026. The betting line was set at Over 21.5 points, and his total of 21 falls short of the required 22 points.

✅ Spurs vs. Clippers (+0.44u)

Selection: Stephon Castle Rebounds Over 4.5 @ 56¢ | Result: WIN Score: Spurs 119 - Clippers 115 Analysis: Stephon Castle recorded 7 rebounds in the game against the Los Angeles Clippers on March 16, 2026. This exceeds the prop line of 4.5 rebounds.

❌ Spurs vs. Clippers (-0.23u)

Selection: Clippers Moneyline @ 22¢ | Result: LOSS Score: LA Clippers 115 - San Antonio Spurs 119 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

✅ Penguins vs. Avalanche (+0.39u)

Selection: Penguins vs. Avalanche Over 5.5 @ 61¢ | Result: WIN Score: Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - Colorado Avalanche 2 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

✅ Suns vs. Celtics (+0.50u)

Selection: Jayson Tatum Over 20.5 Points | Result: WIN Score: Boston Celtics 120 - Phoenix Suns 112 Analysis: Jayson Tatum scored 21 points on March 16, 2026, against the Phoenix Suns. His stat line was 8-of-18 from the field, 2-of-8 from three, and 3-of-3 from the free-throw line. Since 21 is greater than the 20.5 line, the selection is a WIN.

❌ Trail Blazers vs. Nets (-0.50u)

Selection: Nets +9.5 | Result: LOSS Score: Brooklyn Nets 95 - Portland Trail Blazers 114 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

✅ Heat vs. Hornets (+0.49u)

Selection: LaMelo Ball: Points Over 19.5 @ 51¢ | Result: WIN Score: Hornets 136 - Heat 106 Analysis: LaMelo Ball scored 30 points in the game against the Miami Heat on March 17, 2026. Since 30 points is greater than the line of 19.5, the prop result is a WIN.

❌ Heat vs. Hornets (-0.40u)

Selection: Heat Moneyline @ 39¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Miami Heat 106 - Charlotte Hornets 136 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Suns vs. Timberwolves (-0.40u)

Selection: Suns 1H Moneyline @ 39¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Suns 104 - Timberwolves 116 Analysis: The Suns trailed the Timberwolves 63-64 at halftime. Despite leading 39-36 after the first quarter, the Suns were outscored 28-24 in the second quarter, resulting in a one-point halftime deficit. Since the Suns did not lead at halftime, the 1H Moneyline bet is a loss.

✅ Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers (+0.45u)

Selection: Over 139.5 @ 54¢ | Result: WIN Score: Howard Bison 86 - UMBC Retrievers 83 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

✅ Sharks vs. Oilers (+0.41u)

Selection: Oilers Moneyline @ 59¢ | Result: WIN Score: Edmonton Oilers 5 - San Jose Sharks 3 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

✅ Suns vs. Timberwolves (+0.50u)

Selection: Julius Randle Over 21.5 Points | Result: WIN Score: Timberwolves 116 - Suns 104 Analysis: Julius Randle scored 32 points in the game against the Phoenix Suns on March 17, 2026. This exceeds the prop line of 21.5 points.

✅ Pacers vs. Knicks (+0.50u)

Selection: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 20.5 Points | Result: WIN Score: NYK 136 - IND 110 Analysis: Karl-Anthony Towns scored 22 points in the Knicks' 136-110 victory over the Pacers on March 17, 2026. This total surpassed the prop line of 20.5 points.

✅ Warriors vs. Celtics (+0.51u)

Selection: Gui Santos Under 14.5 Points @ 49¢ | Result: WIN Score: Warriors 99 - Celtics 120 Analysis: Gui Santos scored 13 points in the game on March 18, 2026, which is below the prop line of 14.5. According to official box scores, he finished with 13 points on 5-of-12 shooting from the field and 3-of-3 from the free-throw line.

✅ Warriors vs. Celtics (+0.49u)

Selection: Jayson Tatum Over 21.5 Points @ 50¢ | Result: WIN Score: Celtics 120 - Warriors 99 Analysis: Jayson Tatum scored 24 points in the game against the Golden State Warriors on March 18, 2026. His stat line was 24 points (7-15 FG, 5-11 3Pt, 5-6 FT) along with 10 rebounds in 31 minutes of play. Since 24 points is greater than the prop line of 21.5, the selection is a WIN.

❌ Thunder vs. Nets (-0.51u)

Selection: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 4.5 Rebounds @ 51¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 121 - Brooklyn Nets 92 Analysis: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 3 total rebounds (1 offensive, 2 defensive) in 25:34 minutes of action during the Thunder's victory over the Nets on March 18, 2026. Since his total of 3 rebounds is below the line of 4.5, the prop is a loss.

❌ Clippers vs. Pelicans (-0.52u)

Selection: Zion Williamson Over 21.5 Points @ 51¢ | Result: LOSS Score: New Orleans Pelicans 124 - Los Angeles Clippers 109 Analysis: On March 18, 2026, Zion Williamson scored 14 points in the Pelicans' 124-109 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers. The betting line was set at 21.5 points, and his total of 14 points did not exceed this threshold.

✅ Lakers vs. Rockets (+0.51u)

Selection: Alperen Sengün Over 17.5 Points @ 49¢ | Result: WIN Score: Lakers 124 - Rockets 116 Analysis: Alperen Sengün recorded 27 points in the matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers on March 18, 2026. He shot 10-of-15 from the field and 6-of-6 from the free-throw line, easily surpassing the line of 17.5 points.

❌ SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks (-0.50u)

Selection: SMU Mustangs -6.5 | Result: LOSS Score: SMU Mustangs 79 - Miami (OH) RedHawks 89 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View AM Panthers (-0.50u)

Selection: Over 143.5 | Result: LOSS Score: Lehigh Mountain Hawks 55 - Prairie View A&M Panthers 67 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Clippers vs. Pelicans (-0.50u)

Selection: Over 233.5 | Result: LOSS Score: LA Clippers 109 - New Orleans Pelicans 124 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Pistons vs. Wizards (-0.51u)

Selection: Over 13.5 Points @ 51¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Pistons 117 - Wizards 95 Analysis: On March 19, 2026, the Detroit Pistons defeated the Washington Wizards 117-95. The primary player prop for this game set at 13.5 points belonged to Pistons starting guard Daniss Jenkins (who was starting in place of the injured Cade Cunningham). Jenkins finished the game with only 9 points on 3-of-16 shooting. Other players with similar lines around the 13.5 mark also failed to clear the threshold, including Pistons forward Tobias Harris (7 points) and Wizards guard Tre Johnson (13 points). While some Pistons players such as Jalen Duren (24) and Paul Reed (17) scored over 13.5, their established betting lines were significantly higher (Duren's line was 23.5) or lower than the 13.5 mark.

✅ Lakers vs. Heat (+0.57u)

Selection: Lakers Moneyline @ 42¢ | Result: WIN Score: Los Angeles Lakers 134 - Miami Heat 126 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ 76ers vs. Kings (-0.50u)

Selection: Over 8.5 Rebounds @ 50¢ | Result: LOSS Score: Philadelphia 76ers 139 - Sacramento Kings 118 Analysis: For the game on March 19, 2026, the specific player prop line of 'Over 8.5 Rebounds' was set for Sacramento Kings center Maxime Raynaud. According to the official box score and game recaps, Raynaud finished the game with only 4 rebounds (despite scoring 30 points). While other players like Dylan Cardwell (14 rebounds) and Andre Drummond (11 rebounds) exceeded the 8.5 mark, their prop lines were different (Drummond's line was 9.5) or they were not the primary focus of the 8.5 line provided in the betting previews for this matchup.

❌ South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals (-0.51u)

Selection: Over 163.5 @ 50¢ | Result: LOSS Score: South Florida Bulls 79 - Louisville Cardinals 83 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

✅ VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (+0.51u)

Selection: Over 151.5 @ 49¢ | Result: WIN Score: VCU Rams 82 - North Carolina Tar Heels 78 Analysis: Graded from ESPN final score

❌ Clippers vs. Pelicans (-0.50u)

Selection: Brook Lopez: Points Over 10.5 | Result: LOSS Score: Pelicans 105 - Clippers 99 Analysis: Brook Lopez scored 6 points in the game against the New Orleans Pelicans on March 19, 2026. According to the box score, he played 29 minutes and shot 2-of-9 from the field, 0-of-3 from three-point range, and 2-of-6 from the free-throw line. His 6 points fell below the prop line of 10.5.

✅ Suns vs. Spurs (+0.50u)

Selection: Devin Vassell: Points Over 11.5 | Result: WIN Score: San Antonio Spurs 101 - Phoenix Suns 100 Analysis: Devin Vassell scored 12 points in the game on March 19, 2026. His stat line included 5-of-10 shooting from the field (2-of-7 from three-point range) and 0-of-0 from the free-throw line, totaling exactly 12 points. This exceeds the prop line of 11.5 points.

✅ Cavaliers vs. Bulls (+0.50u)

Selection: Guerschon Yabusele Over 3.5 Rebounds | Result: WIN Score: Cleveland Cavaliers 115 - Chicago Bulls 110 Analysis: Guerschon Yabusele recorded 11 rebounds in the game on March 19, 2026, which is significantly higher than the prop line of 3.5 rebounds.

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