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CFB TOP PICK 2026-01-08 · Morning Edition WIN

Miami vs. Ole Miss

Miami Moneyline
62¢
Entry Price
100¢
Final Price
$366K
Volume
7:30 PM ET
Kickoff (ET)
+0.39u
P&L
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ANALYSIS

Miami’s top-ranked Offensive EPA/Play and 0.342 EPA/Dropback advantage are now bolstered by the return of key cornerback OJ Frederique Jr., who was cleared for this CFP Semifinal after an injury scare. We are backing the Hurricanes' 54.2% success rate to exploit an Ole Miss program facing significant coaching instability and staff departures following Lane Kiffin’s exit to LSU. This defensive stability, which recently limited Ohio State to just 14 points, gives Miami the clear edge in this high-stakes matchup.
Key Data
Offensive EPA/Play: #1, Success Rate: 54.2%, EPA/Dropback Edge: +0.342

OUTCOME

Miami 27 - Ole Miss 24
Cam Ward converted three crucial third-and-longs in the fourth quarter with his legs. Miami's defensive line recorded four sacks, stalling Ole Miss's final drive and forcing a missed 48-yard field goal attempt.