NHL
2026-01-19 · Evening Edition
WIN
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
Wild (+1.5) Spread
ANALYSIS
Our selection is backed by Minnesota’s elite 3rd-ranked High-Danger Save Percentage (HDSV%), which is critical as they face a Toronto squad missing leading scorer William Nylander (groin). While the Wild are missing key pieces like Matt Boldy and Joel Eriksson Ek, they proved their resilience with a gritty road victory in Buffalo on Saturday, fueled by Kirill Kaprizov’s three-assist performance and the emerging chemistry of recent acquisition Quinn Hughes. Given that the Maple Leafs' power play currently ranks 32nd in opportunities and has regressed significantly over the last two weeks, Minnesota’s defensive structure is well-positioned to keep this matchup within the spread.
Key Data
HDSV%: 3rd, Toronto PP Regression: 14%, Implied Prob: 70.5%
OUTCOME
Minnesota Wild 6 - Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Graded from ESPN final score