Nevada vs. Boise State

Our projection for the Under 145.5 is reinforced by Nevada’s signature methodical pace (310th nationally), which was on full display in their recent 66-60 defensive grind against Grand Canyon. Boise State returns home following a road loss to deploy their Top 30 defensive unit against a Wolf Pack rotation that may be missing key backcourt depth with guard Amire Robinson currently questionable. This combination of slow tempo and elite home-court defense aligns with the 0.63 market probability for a game that should stay roughly four points below the total.