NBA
SPEC
2026-02-05 · Evening Edition
LOSS
76ers vs. Lakers
Quentin Grimes: Points Over 9.5
ANALYSIS
We are capitalizing on a significant pricing inefficiency against a Lakers defense that ranks in the bottom quintile for defensive EPA per perimeter attempt. With the recent trade of Jared McCain and Paul George's ongoing suspension, Grimes has secured a high-volume role, clearing this 9.5-point line in three of his last four games including back-to-back double-digit performances on February 3rd and 4th. Our projections expect his increased usage to persist against a Los Angeles unit that currently allows 116.2 points per contest.
OUTCOME
Lakers 119 - 76ers 115
Embiid finished with 27 points. AD stayed home on Embiid's pump-fakes and didn't allow him to get to the free-throw line (only 4 FTAs), which was the primary causal factor in keeping him under 28.5.