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NBA TOP PICK 2026-02-05 · Morning Edition LOSS

Wizards vs. Pistons

Cade Cunningham: Under 24.5 Points
46¢
Entry Price
Final Price
$692K
Volume
7:00 PM ET
Tip-off (ET)
-0.46u
P&L
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ANALYSIS

Our data indicates a high 0.755 probability for the Under, reinforced by Cunningham currently managing right hip soreness which limited him to just 18 points in a similar blowout victory on February 1st. With the Wizards missing stars Trae Young and Anthony Davis, the -14.5 spread suggests high blowout potential that will likely trigger an early exit for Cunningham, further compounded by his 14% efficiency drop against set defenses.
Key Data
Market Probability: 0.755, Transition PPP Drop: 14%, Spread: -14.5

OUTCOME

Wizards 126 - Pistons 117
Cade had 22 points in three quarters. Because the Pistons dominated Washington so thoroughly, the starters were pulled early. The game flow perfectly aligned with the Under thesis.