NBA
SPEC
2026-02-09 · Morning Edition
LOSS
76ers vs. Trail Blazers
Deni Avdija: Points Under 21.5
ANALYSIS
We identify a significant regression candidate in Avdija, who is currently questionable with a back injury that has sidelined him for nine of Portland's last 13 games. Before his latest absence, he failed to reach this 21.5-point threshold in consecutive outings (11 and 17 points) and now faces a Philadelphia defense ranking in the top half of the league for efficiency. Our model signals a 76.5% probability for the under, anticipating limited volume and mobility as he works back into the rotation.
Key Data
Defensive Efficiency: Philadelphia Top-5, Implied Probability: 76.5%
OUTCOME
76ers 118 - Trail Blazers 135
Deni Avdija scored 26 points in the game played on February 9, 2026. Since 26 points is over the set line of 21.5, the 'Under' prop is a loss.