NBA
SPEC
2026-02-23 · Morning Edition
LOSS
Kings vs. Grizzlies
Malik Monk Over 11.5 Points
ANALYSIS
We are exploiting an 11.5-point line that serves as a floor for Monk, particularly as the market’s 44% implied probability overlooks his historical efficiency in high-total games. With season-ending surgeries for Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine officially shifting the Kings' offensive usage toward him, Monk’s 19-point performance on Feb 21 confirms he is the primary engine in a matchup featuring a massive 233.5 projected point total.
Key Data
0.44 market probability; player averages 15+ PPG in games where the total is >230.
OUTCOME
Kings 123 - Grizzlies 114
Malik Monk scored 10 points in the game against the Memphis Grizzlies on February 23, 2026. Since 10 points is less than the prop line of 11.5, the selection is a loss.