NBA
TOP PICK
2026-03-01 · Morning Edition
WIN
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Nikola Jokić Points Over 27.5
ANALYSIS
We are backing the over on Jokić as he enters this marquee matchup averaging a dominant 31.5 PPG, having already logged two 40-point performances in the season’s opening week. Denver’s current lack of shooting depth has forced Jokić into a higher-volume role (20.5 FGA), and he has cleared this 27.5 mark in three of his last four games. We expect his individual aggression to remain elevated in this high-stakes playoff rematch against a Minnesota defense he historically exploits for high efficiency.
Key Data
Shark Fair Prob 0.73 vs 0.65 Market; efficiency vs Gobert 1.28 pts/FGA; projected 30.1 points.
OUTCOME
Timberwolves 117 - Nuggets 108
Nikola Jokić scored 35 points in the game against the Minnesota Timberwolves on March 1, 2026. This exceeds the prop line of 27.5 points.