Heat vs. Hornets

We are targeting the Heat as a tactical underdog as they look to sweep the season series (3-0) and secure a top-six seed to avoid the play-in tournament. While Charlotte relies on the league's second-highest three-point volume, Miami’s defense—recently bolstered by the returns of Tyler Herro and Norman Powell—has dominated this matchup, winning 10 of the last 11 meetings. Despite Bam Adebayo being a game-time decision with calf tightness, the Heat's superior execution and the Hornets' defensive inconsistency (9th in points allowed but coming off a 13-point loss to San Antonio) create significant value for a road win.