NHL
SPEC
2026-03-17 · Morning Edition
WIN
Sharks vs. Oilers
Oilers Moneyline
ANALYSIS
Edmonton holds a commanding 56.4% xG share over their last 10 games, a metric that remains elite despite the likely absence of Leon Draisaitl (lower-body). We are backing the Oilers’ superior depth and Connor McDavid’s league-leading form (111 points) against a San Jose squad missing key contributors Alexander Wennberg and Igor Chernyshov. Our model confirms the Oilers' win probability is roughly 7% higher than implied as they push for home-ice advantage in a tight Pacific Division race.
Key Data
Oilers xG% 56.4 vs Sharks 41.2; Projected Win Probability of 0.67.
OUTCOME
Edmonton Oilers 5 - San Jose Sharks 3
Graded from ESPN final score