SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Our selection is driven by SMU's transition frequency (24.1%) and the expected return of All-ACC guard B.J. Edwards, who participated in Tuesday's practice and is projected to stabilize a backcourt that struggled during his five-game absence. While Miami (OH) boasts a 31-1 record, they face a significant class jump against SMU's +18.09 KenPom net rating—the highest they have faced all season—after their defense was exposed in a MAC Tournament collapse against UMass. We expect SMU's interior scoring advantage to overwhelm a RedHawks squad currently relying on guard Luke Skaljac playing through a wrist injury and missing backup Evan Ipsaro (ACL).