Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators

Our 74-possession model is validated by Florida's elite transition offense, which reached a historic peak in Friday's 114-point opening-round performance on 64% shooting. With both rotations at full health in Tampa, we expect Iowa's scoring to accelerate as All-American Bennett Stirtz regresses to his 20-PPG season mean following an uncharacteristic 4-of-17 shooting night in the Round of 64.