CBB
2026-03-22 · Evening Edition
WIN
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators
Over 144.5
1.0u
ANALYSIS
Our 74-possession model is validated by Florida's elite transition offense, which reached a historic peak in Friday's 114-point opening-round performance on 64% shooting. With both rotations at full health in Tampa, we expect Iowa's scoring to accelerate as All-American Bennett Stirtz regresses to his 20-PPG season mean following an uncharacteristic 4-of-17 shooting night in the Round of 64.
Key Data
Combined average PPG 153.5; Florida pace rank #14 NCAA; Iowa pace rank #22 NCAA; model projection 154.2.
OUTCOME
Iowa Hawkeyes 73 - Florida Gators 72
Graded from ESPN final score