NBA
TOP PICK
2026-03-24 · Evening Edition
WIN
Nuggets vs. Suns
Aaron Gordon Over 5.5 Rebounds
ANALYSIS
Our projection targets a positive regression for Gordon, who has averaged a suppressed 4.4 rebounds over his last five games despite a season mean of 6.4. He faces a Phoenix interior defense recently labeled a 'liability' due to the continued absence of Mark Williams (foot) and a reliance on backup Nick Richards. In this critical late-March seeding battle between the #5 Nuggets and #7 Suns, Gordon’s high usage (28+ MPG) and positioning in the dunker spot should allow him to exploit a Suns frontcourt that has struggled to protect the glass against elite interior offenses.
Key Data
Mean 6.4 RPG; Market Implied 27%; Projected Hit Rate 42.0%
OUTCOME
Denver Nuggets 125 - Phoenix Suns 123
Aaron Gordon recorded 6 total rebounds (5 offensive, 1 defensive) in the game against the Phoenix Suns on March 24, 2026. Since 6 is greater than the prop line of 5.5, the bet is a WIN.