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NBA TOP PICK 2026-03-24 · Evening Edition WIN

Nuggets vs. Suns

Aaron Gordon Over 5.5 Rebounds
52¢
Entry Price
100¢
Final Price
$56K
Volume
11:00 PM ET
Tip-off (ET)
+0.48u
P&L
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ANALYSIS

Our projection targets a positive regression for Gordon, who has averaged a suppressed 4.4 rebounds over his last five games despite a season mean of 6.4. He faces a Phoenix interior defense recently labeled a 'liability' due to the continued absence of Mark Williams (foot) and a reliance on backup Nick Richards. In this critical late-March seeding battle between the #5 Nuggets and #7 Suns, Gordon’s high usage (28+ MPG) and positioning in the dunker spot should allow him to exploit a Suns frontcourt that has struggled to protect the glass against elite interior offenses.
Key Data
Mean 6.4 RPG; Market Implied 27%; Projected Hit Rate 42.0%

OUTCOME

Denver Nuggets 125 - Phoenix Suns 123
Aaron Gordon recorded 6 total rebounds (5 offensive, 1 defensive) in the game against the Phoenix Suns on March 24, 2026. Since 6 is greater than the prop line of 5.5, the bet is a WIN.