NBA
2026-03-24 · Evening Edition
WIN
Nuggets vs. Suns
Nikola Jokić Over 12.5 Rebounds
ANALYSIS
Our projection is anchored by Jokić’s league-leading 12.6 RPG and his recent 14-rebound triple-double against Portland on March 22. He faces a Phoenix frontcourt significantly weakened by the confirmed absence of leading rebounder Mark Williams (foot), while the Suns' high-volume perimeter offense—averaging 39 three-point attempts in their last outing—creates the specific long-rebound inventory that Jokić historically exploits.
Key Data
Avg 13.7 RPG last 10; Market 32.5% prob vs model 45.0% projection.
OUTCOME
Denver Nuggets 125 - Phoenix Suns 123
Aaron Gordon recorded 6 total rebounds (5 offensive, 1 defensive) in the game against the Phoenix Suns on March 24, 2026. Since 6 is greater than the prop line of 5.5, the bet is a WIN.