Avalanche vs. Penguins

We are backing the Over 6.5 as the Penguins enter tonight allowing 4.0 goals per game while averaging 4.4 offensively over their last five contests. This volatility, coupled with the absence of Penguins center Evgeni Malkin (upper-body) and a recent head-to-head on March 16th that produced 9 total goals, creates a high-probability environment for defensive regression to drive the scoring.