NBA
SPEC
2026-03-25 · Morning Edition
WIN
Heat vs. Cavaliers
Donovan Mitchell Under 29.5 Points
ANALYSIS
Mitchell has stayed under 29.5 points in 100% of his last four meetings with Miami, consistently struggling against a "blitz and recover" defensive scheme that forces the ball out of his hands. This scoring ceiling is further suppressed by a recent bruised left eye that limited him to just 19 points on 4-for-14 shooting in his last appearance and a rest disadvantage as Cleveland plays the second half of a back-to-back. With Miami posting a league-best 101.1 defensive rating when Bam Adebayo is active, Mitchell lacks the efficiency and volume to clear this total.
Key Data
L4 vs MIA: 100% Under 29.5; Miami Pace: 96.4 (29th); Market Price (Under): 0.705
OUTCOME
Miami Heat 120 - Cleveland Cavaliers 103
Donovan Mitchell finished the game with 28 points on 12-of-22 shooting from the field. Since 28 points is less than the prop line of 29.5, the selection is a WIN.