Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats

Our analysis indicates that the 167.5 total—2.2 standard deviations above the NCAA mean—is an overreach against an Arizona defense ranking 8th nationally in efficiency (95.9 DRtg). With Coach Calipari emphasizing a 'will against will' physical approach and center Nick Pringle returning from a hamstring injury, Arizona’s interior length is positioned to stifle Arkansas’s slashing style and keep scoring well below the season-high efficiency required for the over.