Heat vs. Cavaliers

We are exploiting a significant pricing inefficiency as Jarrett Allen is upgraded to questionable for today’s rematch following a 10-game injury layoff. Before his absence, Allen averaged 21.4 PPG over a nine-game stretch, thriving as a high-volume roll-man alongside trade-deadline acquisition James Harden. This 10.5-point line sits 2.1 standard deviations below his seasonal median and fails to account for his elite 63.6% field goal efficiency against a Heat defense that frequently pulls Bam Adebayo away from the interior.