Purdue vs. Arizona

We are fading the heavy public overreaction to Arizona’s record-setting 109-point performance in the Sweet 16, which has steamed this total up from 151.5 to 153.5. While the Wildcats shot an unsustainable 63.8% on March 26, they now face a Purdue defense that ranks 336th in pace and successfully slowed Texas to a 77-point crawl in their last outing. With the pressure of a Final Four berth and Purdue’s tendency to force half-court sets, expect Arizona's offensive efficiency to regress toward the mean in a more deliberate, physical matchup.