← Back to picks
NBA 2026-03-28 · Morning Edition WIN

Spurs vs. Bucks

Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 (Over) 1.0u
46¢
Entry Price
100¢
Final Price
$569K
Volume
58¢
Fair Price
4.0%
Edge
3:00 PM ET
Tip-off (ET)
+0.45u
P&L
Episode Picks | Listen Listen on Apple Podcasts Listen onSpotify Listen onTransistor | Trade Kalshi

ANALYSIS

With Milwaukee missing Giannis Antetokounmpo and potentially five other rotation players, the Spurs enter as heavy 17.5-point favorites against a defense that has surrendered three 30-point losses in the last week. Castle has thrived in high-efficiency environments recently, maintaining a 16.5 PPG season average and coming off a 15-point outing in limited minutes during Wednesday's blowout of Memphis. Despite De'Aaron Fox's return to the lineup, the Bucks' current defensive collapse and lack of interior presence provide a high floor for Castle to clear this mark.
Key Data
18.2 PPG in games with 30+ minutes; Bucks allow 118.4 PPG to opposing guards.

OUTCOME

San Antonio Spurs 127 - Milwaukee Bucks 95
Graded from ESPN final score