NBA
TOP PICK
2026-03-29 · Morning Edition
PENDING
Celtics vs. Hornets
Jayson Tatum Over 21.5 Points
ANALYSIS
We are targeting a market line set significantly below Tatum’s surging form, as he is coming off a season-high 26-point performance against Atlanta and currently averages 29.4 PPG in his last five matchups against Charlotte. With the Celtics' leading scorer Jaylen Brown (28.6 PPG) sidelined due to Achilles tendinitis, Tatum’s usage will be maximized as Boston pursues its 50th win of the season to secure the Eastern Conference's No. 2 seed.
Key Data
27.0 PPG average vs 21.5 line; Market price 0.185 suggests <20% probability vs fair projection of 78%.