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NBA SPEC 2026-03-29 · Morning Edition WIN

Magic vs. Raptors

Raptors -1.5 (1H) 1.0u
56¢
Entry Price
100¢
Final Price
$357K
Volume
49¢
Fair Price
6.0%
Edge
6:00 PM ET
Tip-off (ET)
+0.44u
P&L
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ANALYSIS

We are exploiting a pricing inefficiency where the Raptors' 0.43 implied probability to cover -1.5 1H ignores Orlando's current three-game road skid and the absence of key offensive engine Franz Wagner (ankle). With Toronto holding a dominant 29-16 record against Eastern Conference opponents and needing to solidify their 5th-seed standing, we expect them to capitalize on a shorthanded Magic rotation missing both Wagner and Anthony Black to establish an early lead.
Key Data
Raptors home 1H ATS win rate: 56%; Market price 0.43 vs projection of 0.49.

OUTCOME

Toronto Raptors 70 - Orlando Magic 43 (Half-time)
The Toronto Raptors led the Orlando Magic 70-43 at the end of the first half on March 29, 2026. The Raptors won the first quarter 38-20 and the second quarter 32-23. A 27-point halftime lead easily covers the -1.5 spread.