NBA
TOP PICK
2026-04-04 · Morning Edition
WIN
San Antonio vs. Denver
Denver Winner
1.0u
ANALYSIS
We are fading the market’s overreaction to San Antonio's 11-game win streak, which has drawn over $540k in volume despite Denver's massive efficiency edge (5.4 Net Rating vs -6.2) and 59.2% True Shooting. While Victor Wembanyama returns for the Spurs today, the Nuggets have won seven straight and are hyper-motivated to leapfrog the Lakers for the No. 3 seed following Luka Doncic’s season-ending injury. Our play relies on Nikola Jokic’s current triple-double average to anchor Denver's championship-caliber core against a Spurs roster whose public 'load management' narrative is over-weighted due to the absence of Peyton Watson.
Key Data
DEN NetRtg +5.4 vs SAS -6.2; DEN True Shooting % 59.2 vs SAS 56.4
OUTCOME
Denver Nuggets 136 - San Antonio Spurs 134
Graded from ESPN final score