St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals

Our selection is supported by Matthew Liberatore's elite 1.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through 11.0 innings, providing the pitching edge needed to neutralize a Washington lineup that just exploded for nine runs on Monday. While the Nationals are scoring a franchise-best 6.40 runs per game, their staff is severely compromised with three primary starters on the 60-day IL and a bullpen carrying a bottom-five 5.85 ERA. We expect the Cardinals to capitalize on a Washington relief unit that has consistently struggled with late-game consistency to cover the -1.5 spread.