← Back to picks
MLB SPEC 2026-04-20 · Evening Edition LOSS

Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels

Mike Trout: 1+ home runs 0.5u speculative
20¢
Entry Price
Final Price
$8K
Volume
31¢
Fair Price
11.0%
Edge
-0.10u
P&L
Episode Picks | Listen Listen on Apple Podcasts Listen onSpotify Listen onTransistor | Trade Kalshi

ANALYSIS

Mike Trout enters this matchup having 'caught fire,' launching five home runs in his last series against the Yankees to reach seven on the season with a .980 OPS. He faces a Toronto staff severely compromised by the loss of Jose Berrios (stress fracture) and Shane Bieber (60-day IL), providing a high-leverage opportunity against a bullpen with a 4.57 ERA. These factors, combined with favorable 69-degree weather, suggest his 31% fair HR probability is significantly undervalued by the 20% market price.

OUTCOME

Toronto Blue Jays 5 - Los Angeles Angels 2
In the game on April 20, 2026, Mike Trout went 1-for-4 with a single and 3 strikeouts. He did not hit any home runs. The only home run recorded in the game was by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of the Toronto Blue Jays in the 3rd inning.