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MLB SPEC 2026-04-22 · Evening Edition LOSS

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox

Aaron Judge: 1+ home runs? 0.5u speculative
24¢
Entry Price
Final Price
$39K
Volume
31¢
Fair Price
7.4%
Edge
-0.12u
P&L
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ANALYSIS

We are backing Judge to find the seats at Fenway, leveraging his 0.077 HR/PA rate against a Red Sox rotation currently missing Crawford, Sandoval, and the recently sidelined Sonny Gray. Judge enters today with 9 home runs—second-most in the league—and matches up against lefty Ranger Suárez in a park built for his power profile. With Boston's pitching depth exhausted by recent setbacks and Judge in peak form, this matchup offers massive upside.

OUTCOME

NYY 4 - BOS 1
Aaron Judge went 1-for-2 with two walks and two runs scored in the game on April 22, 2026, but did not hit a home run. The only home run for the Yankees in this contest was a three-run shot by Amed Rosario in the 1st inning off Ranger Suarez.