MLB
SPEC
2026-04-24 · Morning Edition
PENDING
New York Y vs Houston
Aaron Judge: 1+ home runs
0.5u
speculative
ANALYSIS
Judge faces a depleted Houston pitching staff missing both their primary starter (Brown) and closer (Hader) in a park with a 114 HR factor. A binomial calculation based on his season rates projects a 32.4% chance for a HR, offering a clear edge during the Yankees' 6-game win streak.